Musk judges that the time is ripe: the large-scale test of FSD (Full Self-Drive, “full self-driving”), which was planned to be launched three years ago, has finally come.
- Some users broke the news that there is no security score limit for applying for the FSD test, and it can be used immediately.
- What do you mean? Musk is confident that FSD is now good enough for any driver, skilled or unskilled, cautious or reckless.
- FSD “should be tested and tested”, where does the confidence come from and what is the impact?
FSD has no threshold, why now?
Tesla hasn’t announced it publicly, but users have spotted the big change last week:
According to the owner’s description, he has just bought the car two weeks, and he doesn’t have Tesla’s safety score yet, but after clicking on the FSD beta test application, the system began to download directly.
This at least shows that the large-scale testing of FSD has quietly begun in the early stages, and the official announcement is likely to be a tweet from Musk. Why is Musk’s confidence now mature? This is because FSD is about to update the 10.12 version, and the capabilities have improved a lot.
At present, 10.12 is only pushed within Tesla employees, but more detailed logs have been disclosed. The first and most obvious is in the aspect of HMI visualization: the visual effect is clearer, and the recognition of other vehicle traffic signal features is more abundant.
In the previous test version, FSD’s recognition of other vehicles could only be done with a simple model display:
But this time, when FSD Beta 10.12 recognizes other vehicles, it is more detailed and realistic than the previous simple model display, including dual brake lights and turn signals that can be recognized and displayed.
In addition, in the previous version, FSD Betas was able to detect and bypass vehicles with open doors, but this time it is displayed in the visualization that the function of the orange marking of open doors is added.
At the underlying algorithm level, the FSD 10.12 version has these updates:
- The decision framework for unprotected left turns has been upgraded, and more scene features have been added to enhance robustness.
- Use more accurate lane geometry and higher resolution occlusion detection to improve recognition rates.
- Optimize target behavior prediction and optimize the experience of changing lanes and corners.
- The decision-making dependence of the system on lane lines is reduced.
- Improve turning safety at intersections by improving the architecture of the lane recognition neural network.
- The system was trained on 180,000 lane-related cases, improving the lane-keeping success rate and accuracy.
- Improved yellow light recognition to reduce false brake triggering.
- Added 30,000 video cases to retrain recognition of generalized static obstacles and improve recognition accuracy and target understanding. Added 41,000 video cases for stationary vehicle recognition training.
- Added recognition and motion direction judgment for motorcycles, pedestrians, and cyclists.
- Improves ride comfort when evading a vehicle in front of you with sudden braking.
- Added acceleration prediction for all moving objects, which previously only covered longitudinally moving objects.
- The more important updates are to improve the recognition rate of lanes and objects, as well as the stability of the entire system.
Someone has uploaded the actual test video of FSD 10.12 on the Internet, and the whole 8-minute test was released:
Among them, the more difficult actions of turning left without protection, avoiding lane changes when there are vehicles in the front and rear, and driving on roads without lane lines are closely related to this update.
FSD should be tested, what does it mean?
Originally, in version 10.12, Musk originally planned to only appropriately expand the scope of testing, but judging from the current situation reported by users, he may plan to skip this stage and roll it out in one step.
So Tesla has been using the owner safety scoring system for more than a year and may have to retire early.
The so-called “owner safety score” is an assessment system that Tesla gives to each user who applies for the FSD test, which is used to judge whether he is a “responsible” owner and whether he can test the earlier version of the FSD.
The dimension includes 5 aspects: forward collision warning every 1000 miles, emergency braking, sharp turn, unsafe following, and forcibly disabling Autopilot.
It can be seen from these standards that Tesla first emphasizes the degree of the prudence of the car owner. Old drivers who drive too hard and too aggressive are difficult to pass the 98-point qualifying line.
However, it is not enough to be cautious. If you didn’t “trust” the system enough in the process of using Tesla Autopilot before if you took over too much, points will also be deducted. Therefore, it is not easy to become a “superior student” in Musk’s eyes. There were only about 60,000 people in the world before.
It can also be seen from Tesla’s move to set the owner’s safety score. The essence of the relationship between users and FSD is still “people give the system the bottom line”.
So prior to version 10.12, Tesla actually believed that FSD was not foolproof. However, if the 10.12 version is fully rolled out, the nature of FSD will change, and it will become a “system to give people the bottom line”, which really has practical value.
This is good news for all car owners at home and abroad who have spent 64,000 real money on FSD “futures”. It’s also good news for Tesla. According to @WholeMarsBlog, a well-known Tesla intelligence blogger, the previous 60,000 FSD Beta users can drive a cumulative 1.4 billion miles (about 2.2 billion kilometers) per year.
Including all Tesla vehicles that have purchased FSD, this data can reach 32 billion miles (about 51.5 billion kilometers) per year, an increase of about 25 times. In this way, Tesla will accelerate faster on autopilot, and it will be more difficult for latecomers to catch up.
Because the road test data of 50 billion kilometers a year is an astronomical number unheard of by any OEM or autonomous driving company.
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